28 Nov 2006

China: Latest assessments of strategic experts on Sino-Indian ties
South Asia Analysis Group, India
Extract: "Paper no. 2039, 27.11.2006, China: Latest assessments of strategic experts on Sino-Indian ties by D. S. Rajan. [...] An analysis done by Beijing-based China International Institute for Strategic Studies (CIISS) (in Chinese language, November 21, 2006), on the subject of "future directions of the Sino-Indian border dispute", judged that "conditions are not ripe for a peaceful and satisfactory solution" to the dispute. [...] The Chinese media is now increasingly using the term "Southern Tibet" as their substitute to the name of Arunachal Pradesh given by India. This has no precedence and would seem to have definite implications in future for the Arunachal issue; the analysts are even speaking now in terms of China's recovery of "Southern Tibet", i.e Arunachal Pradesh. Also, some PRC analysts while examining their country's threat perceptions have visualised a future Indian military attack on the PRC. Why such an alarmist view when both nations are on a course of 'strategic partnership', is a moot question. [...] China International Institute for Strategic Studies is based in Beijing. Its website www.chinaiiss.org, was established in October 2002, with the stated aim of contributing to research on the PRC's international strategy. The head of the site is "Zhongguo Zhan Lue or China Strategy", apparently a pseudonym for a high level cadre. The site's "Experts Group" has one Li Peng as member. Further check is necessary on whether this person is the former Chinese Premier Li Peng. - d.s. rajan."
[The author of the paper, Mr D. S. Rajan, is former Director, Cabinet Secretariat, Government of India. - ed.]
URL http://www.saag.org/papers21/paper2039.html
Internet Archive (web.archive.org) [the document was not archived at the time of this abstract]
Link reported by: T. Matthew Ciolek (tmciolek--at--coombs.anu.edu.au)
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