27 Sep 2004

Sri Lanka & LTTE: Quo Vadis
Institute For Topical Studies, Chennai, India
Supplied note: "The latest paper of the Institute For Topical Studies, A-2/3, Bharathi Dasan Colony, K.K.Nagar, Chennai---600078, India, on the above subject is now available at the web site of the South Asia Analysis Group (SAAG), New Delhi, at [the URL below] - br."
[Extract: "A question often posed is, will there be another flare-up in Sri Lanka, if the deadlock continues? Most probably, there will be. The timing of such a flare-up will be decided by the LTTE [the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam - ed.] and not by the [Sri Lanka's] Government. A more important question is: If there is such a flare-up, how high would be the morale of the SL Army and how firm its determination to deny to the LTTE the fruits of a military victory? After having been used to peace for over two years, will the SL Army be prepared to fight with the same determination against the LTTE as it had done in the past? It is difficult to answer this question with any certainty at present. However, one can say that time and circumstances seem to be on the LTTE's side." - b.raman]
[The writer is Additional Secretary (retd), Cabinet Secretariat, Govt. of India, and, presently, Director, Institute For Topical Studies, Chennai, and Distinguished Fellow and Convenor, Observer Research Foundation (ORF), Chennai Chapter - ed.]
URL http://www.saag.org/papers12/paper1123.html
Internet Archive (www.archive.org) [the paper was not archived at the time of this abstract. However, in a few weeks time it will be available at web.archive.org/web/*/www.saag.org]
Link reported by: B. Raman (corde[use"@"]vsnl.com)
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